Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.380265 0.505137 0.649146 0.825050 1.031666 1.264313 1.543685
2025-11-02 0.212920 0.360359 0.557122 0.827420 1.177726 1.605621 2.156718
2025-11-09 0.108932 0.246406 0.461950 0.794305 1.264798 1.879897 2.716946
2025-11-16 0.063533 0.193390 0.430076 0.832071 1.441334 2.278256 3.461679
2025-11-23 0.032575 0.143759 0.383886 0.833692 1.560812 2.605112 4.131764
2025-11-30 0.019378 0.121909 0.377727 0.894519 1.769956 3.066942 5.006307
2025-12-07 0.010161 0.099611 0.361221 0.931513 1.941873 3.482502 5.833884
2025-12-14 0.004324 0.077690 0.335377 0.943896 2.071349 3.839169 6.590276
2025-12-21 0.001198 0.056441 0.299572 0.927291 2.146703 4.114170 7.236352
2025-12-28 0.000259 0.044092 0.281574 0.942431 2.275716 4.475226 8.018034
2026-01-04 0.000012 0.033007 0.259928 0.943765 2.377457 4.795218 8.746577
2026-01-11 NaN 0.021939 0.228007 0.912557 2.413333 5.008061 9.317850
2026-01-18 NaN 0.014122 0.201210 0.888463 2.462472 5.249048 9.948094
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009920 0.187620 0.896019 2.574389 5.599484 10.758714
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005523 0.162529 0.863513 2.600318 5.803921 11.346624
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004335 0.161910 0.904840 2.784063 6.286867 12.386378
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002651 0.150090 0.907229 2.883560 6.625567 13.204114
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002352 0.156472 0.972058 3.124046 7.220341 14.444913
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001751 0.155587 1.011429 3.309897 7.722927 15.546659
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001048 0.147904 1.024636 3.437226 8.124070 16.491793
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000430 0.133165 1.007101 3.492065 8.395104 17.229816
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000208 0.127480 1.023158 3.625746 8.813118 18.215959
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000065 0.118890 1.024583 3.723961 9.167609 19.102648